Blockchain-based decentralized multi-cloud has the potential to reduce cloud infrastructure costs and to enable geographically distributed providers of any size to monetize their computational resources. In this context, guarantees that the computational results are delivered within the promised time and budget must be provided despite the limited information available about the location and ownership of resources. Providers might claim to execute the services to get compensated for the computation even though returning incomplete or incorrect results. In this paper, we define a model to predict provider reliability, that is, the probability of failure-free execution of computational tasks and correctness of the computed outputs, by extracting the potential dependencies between providers from historical log traces. This model can then be utilized in the definition of provider reputation or the scheduling of new services. Indeed, we propose a probabilistic scheduler that chooses the providers that meet the reliability constraints among others. Finally, we validate the proposed solutions with real traces from a decentralized cloud provider and hint at the benefits of predicting reliability in this context.

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